Another Black poll shows her leading Boyd in GOP gubernatorial primary (41 percent to 28 percent)

An internal polling memo leaked by U.S. Rep. Diane Black’s campaign shows her on top of GOP primary competitor Randy Boyd by 13 points, reports the Nashville Post, close to the results of an earlier Black-commissioned poll that was labeled “bogus” by Boyd’s campaign.

According to the memo from On Message dated last Friday, polling of 600 likely Republican primary voters across the state earlier in the week put Black up with 41 percent of the vote, a sharp increase from her numbers in March and April. In March, Black’s internal polling showed her tied at 31 percent with businessman and former state ECD director Boyd, while in April she had inched up to 33 percent. The polling has Boyd now at 28 percent. Lee Company owner Bill Lee is at 9 percent and House Speaker Beth Harwell is at 8 percent, leaving 14 percent undecided. The margin of error is plus or minus 4 percent.

While internal campaign polling should always be taken with a heavy grain of salt, the results echo another Black internal poll from earlier in May done by Grassroots Targeting, which had Black at 41 percent and Boyd at 26 percent.

Black’s surge seems to indicate the previously sizable number of undecided voters are starting to make up their minds with just over two months left until the Aug. 2 primary — or at least they are in Middle Tennessee.

On Message pollster Wes Anderson notes in the memo that Black and Boyd are statistically tied in East Tennessee — Boyd’s home base — with Boyd at 36 percent and Black one percent lower, and Black leads within the margin of error in West Tennessee at 34 percent to Boyd’s 30 percent. But in Middle Tennessee — Black’s home base — she commands over 51 percent of the vote to Boyd’s 17 percent.

…Anderson also notes that Black’s recent ads taking a harsh stance on immigration have polled better than Boyd’s attempts to do the same, by a margin of 45 percent to 26 percent among voters who rate that as the most important issue.

However, the Tennessee Jobs Now PAC, funded by Boyd supporter Joe Hollingsworth, is about to  roll out $400,000 of television ads attacking Black, some reportedly over her vote as a state representative to allow undocumented immigrants in Tennessee to get driver’s licenses.

Note: Previous post (on the earlier poll) HERE.

4 Responses to Another Black poll shows her leading Boyd in GOP gubernatorial primary (41 percent to 28 percent)

  • Tennessee Jed says:

    Good. GOP. Go ahead and nominate Black. Just handing the Dems both statewide elections with terrible candidates

    • Stuart I. Anderson says:

      Oh Jed, please don’t get yourself all excited only to suffer six months of depression when the voters of Tennessee once again show themselves disinclined to follow the Democratic Party on its leftward journey that leads to a California, Illinois, New York, Maryland,. . .you get the idea.

  • Steve L. says:

    Black is in, first. Boyd is out, second. Black will win, third. And Black will win so big over Bredesen that it will be an epic win. And 4th Bredesen will slide back into retirement, claiming he really won the important votes, soon to realize his career of ill gotten gains and poor leadership will not make him a historically remembered statesman. Just like Corker and Gore. So sad. MAGA!

  • Tommy Ray McAnally says:

    BLACK COULD’T BEAT BRILEY. BLACK IS NOTHING MORE THAN A BAIT AND SWITCH. SMOKE IS ALL YOU WILL HEAR FROM BLACK FOR THE NEXT SIX MONTHS THEN ITS BACK TO WORKING FOR THE BIG. MONEY. JUST think all you people that VOTE FOR BLACK HAVE NO ETHICS NO MORALS AND HAVE NO CONSIDERATION FOR THE MIDDLE CLASS OR UNFORTUNATE PEOPLE AND YOU PROBABLY WOULD HAVE VOTED FOR THE TRANSIT IN NASHVILLE.

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