polls

GOP guber poll: Undecided 54.7%; Black 13.9%

A poll commissioned by Tennesseans for Conservative Action, which bills itself as a “voter education” group that “stands for constitutionally conservative principles,” found that about 55 percent of likely Republican voters are undecided about who to support in the 2018 gubernatorial primary.

But 82 percent view President Donald Trump favorably and 54 percent think Butch Jones is doing a good job as University of Tennessee football coach.

Continue reading

Poll finds Corker approval rating down to 34 percent; Corker staffer says it’s a ‘push poll’

Tennessee Democrats say a new poll, commissioned by a national advocacy group fighting GOP efforts to repeal Obamacare, demonstrates U.S. Sen. Bob Corker, R-Tenn., is vulnerable on the health care issue. The Times Free Press reports that a Corker staffer and Vanderbilt University pollster question the validity of the survey.

Continue reading

Poll commissioned by education reform group finds TN voters like education reform

News release from State Collaborative on Reforming Education

NASHVILLE – A survey of likely voters in Tennessee’s 2018 gubernatorial primaries shows that education reform measures have broad support among Republicans and Democrats and that voters rank improving the quality of education as one of the top issues for the next governor.

Results from the poll were released today by the State Collaborative on Reforming Education, which commissioned a statewide survey of 500 likely voters in the 2018 Republican primary and 500 likely voters in the Democratic primary. The telephone poll was conducted July 12-16 by Fabrizio, Lee & Associates and Benenson Strategy Group.

Alexander, Corker get 52 percent approval ratings in national polling on U.S. senators

Tennessee’s Lamar Alexander and Bob Corker got identical 52 percent approval in polling by Morning Consult in all 50 states on the popularity of U.S. senators. Both also had 29 percent disapproval ratings.

That puts them, more or less, in the middle of the pack among colleagues nationwide. They are among 20 senators who saw their overall approval rating declined from Morning Consult’s last such survey. (Corker was at 57 percent then; Alexander at 55 percent.)

Nationally, Vermont Democrat Bernie Sanders had the highest approval (75 percent); Senate Majority Leader Mitch McConnell, a Kentucky Republican, the lowest (41 percent with 48 percent disapproval). The full report is HERE.

The Bible may not be official TN state book, but lots of Tennesseans read and believe

Noting a report that says the Tri-Cities area of Tennessee has risen from fifth to fourth place on the American Bible Society’s rankings of the nation’s most “Bible-minded” places, the Kingsport Times-News got comments from area ministers. (Chattanooga is No. 1). The report is based on polling that asks respondents about their frequency of Bible reading and belief in the Bible’s accuracy.

An excerpt:

Marvin Cameron, pastor at First Baptist Church in Kingsport, said he believes the Tri-Cities’ high ranking speaks to this region’s heritage.

“I think that’s just a part of who we are,” Cameron said. “It’s part of who we’ve been growing up, and it’s something that stays with us for a lifetime.”

To encourage Bible-mindedness at First Baptist, Cameron said he prepares a daily devotional that is sent to the congregation by email. The devotional includes a daily scripture reading and a few paragraphs of reflection.

The American Bible Society report is HERE. First paragraphs:

Continue reading

Poll finds more Tennesseans trust Trump than Haslam, Alexander or Corker

A poll conducted by the Office of Consumer Research at Middle Tennessee State University’s Jones College of Business reports that the surveyed Tennesseans trust President Donald Trump a bit more than Gov. Bill Haslam.

Overall, Trump had the trust of 38 percent of those polled and Haslam 35 percent. Both were well ahead of U.S. Sens. Lamar Alexander (27 percent) and Bob Corker (28 percent). But the two senators were, in turn, well ahead of the U.S. Congress overall (18 percent). There are also some interesting findings on trust of media outlets.

Continue reading

AMA poll: Most Tennesseans don’t want cuts to Medicaid

The American Medical Association, which opposes both the House-approved version of legislation to repeal and replace Obamacare and the latest proposed version from Senate Republicans, has commissioned a poll that basically says most Tennesseans agree with that position.

The first sentence of a Times Free Press report says that 60 percent of surveyed Tennesseans oppose cuts to TennCare/Medicaid funding, which both versions would do, and otherwise summarizes the findings. An excerpt:

The June 15-19 poll of 500 registered Tennessee voters was among surveys conducted in seven states by the Republican polling firm Public Opinion Strategies. The poll had a margin of error of plus or minus 4.4 percent.

…In another finding, 56 percent don’t want senators to pass the House bill as is, with 30 percent wanting “major” changes made and 26 percent saying they didn’t want senators to pass any part of the House bill.

Only 9 percent of voters said they wanted the Senate to pass the House legislation just as it is, while 24 percent wanted to see senators make minor changes before passing it.

Forty-nine percent of the Tennesseans surveyed said they viewed TennCare positively. Another 19 percent were neutral. Only 15 percent held unfavorable views of TennCare.

Voters were evenly divided — 39 percent either way — over whether to keep Medicaid funding at its present level or to increase it. Only 9 percent want to decrease Medicaid funding.

…The poll’s accompanying memo from pollsters said “it is important to note” that a majority of those surveyed — 57 percent — are themselves enrolled or have a family member enrolled in Medicaid, or know someone with Medicaid coverage.

Note: The AMA poll press release is HERE. The affiliated Tennessee Medical Association recently issued a press release opposing the proposed Senate bill, HERE.

A clash of polling perspectives on in-state tuition for children of illegal immigrants

The results of a Tennessee Star poll on support for granting in-state tuition rates to children of illegal immigrants living in Tennessee are strikingly different from results from a similar Vanderbilt University poll on the subject.

Tennessee Star’s results, reported Thursday, are that 84 percent of the “likely Republican primary voters” surveyed are opposed while only 13 percent support the notion. The Vanderbilt poll, reported May 30, found 66 percent of registered voters favor the idea while just 30 percent oppose.

One difference, of course, is the Star only asked  declared Republicans while Vanderbilt covered all registered voters. But the Vandy poll found support for the proposal, which has failed on close votes in the General Assembly for the past two year, widespread despite party alignment. Among those identifying themselves as Republicans, Vanderbilt reported 55 percent support (Democrats 87 percent; independents 66 percent).

Which leads to the thought that the responses may have had something to do with the way the question was phrased.

Continue reading

Poll of GOP voters finds many prefer ‘someone else’ to Corker (but not Joe Carr or Andy Ogles)

A poll of likely Tennessee Republican primary voters indicates U.S. Sen. Bob Corker’s reelection in 2018 is supported by 41.1 percent of those surveyed while 41.6 percent would rather “give someone else a chance,” according to Tennessee Star.

The poll also found that Corker would face a statistical dead heat in a mythical matchup against U.S. Rep. Marsha Blackburn: Corker 41.4 percent versus 38.6 for Blackburn, who said this week – after the poll was taken – that she will seek reelection to a ninth House term next year rather than challenge Corker. (Previous post HERE)

Continue reading

Vandy Poll: Trump approval at 52 percent in TN (same as Corker; bit ahead of Alexander)

Some findings in a Vanderbilt University poll of 1,005 Tennessee voters, conducted May 4-15:

-President Donald Trump’s approval rating stands at 52 percent, about 10 points higher than President Obama’s approval rating in a late November 2016 poll. He carried the state with 61 percent of the vote last November. Responding to a separate question on whether they believe Trump will change things for the better, 41 percent said yes and 54 percent said no.

-Among announced and potential candidate for governor, Republican U.S. Rep. Diane Black had the highest name recognition, 49 percent followed by Democrat Karl Dean, former Nashville mayor at 38 percent. Others: House Speaker Beth Harwell 34 percent; , Sen. Mae Beavers 28 percent, former ECD Commissioner Randy Boyd 26 percent; Sen. Mark Green 21 percent, businessman Bill Lee of Franklin and Senate Majority Leader Mark Norris, both 14 percent, House Minority Leader Craig Fitzhugh, 8 percent.

Continue reading

ABOUT THIS BLOG

Former Knoxville News Sentinel capitol bureau chief Tom Humphrey writes about Tennessee politics, government, and legislative news.

Subscribe by Email

Enter your email address to subscribe to this blog and receive notifications of new posts by email.