polls

Early GOP gubernatorial polls: Black leads Boyd (most voters undecided)

A majority of Republican voters are undecided about who to support in the 2018 governor’s race, but of those willing to give a pollster a preference, U.S.  Rep. Diane Black apparently holds the lead with former Economic and Community Development Commissioner Randy Boyd running second.

Black’s margin over Boyd is five points bigger in the Tennessee Star poll than in the Tennesseans For Student Success polls.

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Vanderbilt Poll: Tennesseans are more moderate than most people think

Tennesseans are less conservative than most folks think, according to a Vanderbilt University poll of 1,013 registered Tennessee voters conducted between Nov. 16 and Dec. 5.

The poll also indicates Republican U.S. Rep. Marsha Blackburn has the highest name identification among candidates for the U.S. Senate, 73 percent, followed by Democratic former Gov. Phil Bredesen at 65 percent and Republican U.S. Rep. Stephen Fincher at 22 percent.

In the governor’s race, Republican Diane Black leads with 59 percent name recognition, followed by Democrat Karl Dean with 41 percent. Republicans Beth Harwell (40) , Randy Boyd (33), Mae Beavers (28) and Bill Lee (14) follow, with Democrat Craig Fitzhugh standing at 10 percent.

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TN poll approval: Haslam 57, Trump 51, Alexander 44, Corker 40

A poll of 625 registered Tennessee voters by Mason-Dixon Polling and Strategy Inc., conducted Nov. 17-20, found 57 percent approve of Gov. Bill Haslam’s job performance, 51 percent approval for President Donald Trump, 44 percent for Sen. Lamar Alexander and 40 percent for Sen. Bob Corker.

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Poll finds Tennesseans skeptical of Senate Republican tax plan

Excerpt from a Hart Research Associates polling memo on a Nov. 17-9, 2017 survey of 400 registered voters in Tennessee, with a margin of error of ±five percentage points, asking their sentiments on the tax plan now pending in the U.S. Senate.  It was apparently commissioned by Americans for Fair Taxation, a non-profit organization of multiple groups – including labor unions and others generally oriented toward Democrats.

-Just 30% of Tennessee voters currently approve of the Republican tax plan, while nearly half (47%) disapprove. Significantly, strong sentiment on the issue is even more lopsided, with more than twice as many voters strongly disapproving (28%) as strongly approving (13%).

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National poll indicates Corker now more popular among Democrats than Republicans

Democrats are now prone to have a more favorable opinion of Tennessee’s Bob Corker than Republicans, according to an Economist/YouGov poll. Two other Republican U.S. senators who have clashed with President Donald Trump – John McCain and Jeff Flake, both of Arizona – are in a similar situation in the poll of 1,500 persons nationwide Oct. 29-31.

Corker had a 37 percent approval rating among Democrats, but just 15 percent approval among Republicans surveyed. At the same time, 45 percent of polled Republicans had an unfavorable view of Corker but only 22 percent of Democrats.

The Tennessean’s totals – Democrats, Republicans and independents combined – came out 23 percent favorable, 32 percent unfavorable.

There were a lot of “don’t know” responses on Corker and Flake. McCain, a former presidential nominee much better known nationally, was viewed favorably by 64 percent of Democrats and 21 percent of Republicans; unfavorably by 63 percent of Republicans and 27 percent of Democrats.

Murky MTSU Poll: Blackburn (without considering Fincher) and Dean are primary frontrunners — otherwise ???

News release from Middle Tennessee State University

MURFREESBORO, Tenn. — Marsha Blackburn leads in the Republican U.S. Senate primary, Karl Dean leads in the Democratic gubernatorial primary, and Phil Bredesen probably would be leading in the Democratic U.S. Senate primary if he were a declared candidate, the latest MTSU Poll finds.

Meanwhile, nobody has established a clear lead in the Republican gubernatorial primary or the general-election races for governor and Senate.

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MTSU Poll: Corker’s TN approval rating has dropped below Trump’s rating (both down following feud)

News release from Middle Tennessee State University

MURFREESBORO, Tenn. — Disapproval of Republican Tennessee Sen. Bob Corker has risen to 41 percent among Tennessee voters, according to the latest MTSU Poll, a 14-point climb since last spring and in the wake of his public feud with President Donald Trump.

Disapproval of Trump edged up, too, from 32 to 40 percent during the same period. But Trump’s approval held steady at 50 percent, well above the national approval rate of about 37 percent. Corker’s approval dropped from 52 percent in the spring to 45 percent now, putting his approval rate below Trump’s but in the same range, given the poll’s 4-percentage-point error margin.

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GOP guber poll: Undecided 54.7%; Black 13.9%

A poll commissioned by Tennesseans for Conservative Action, which bills itself as a “voter education” group that “stands for constitutionally conservative principles,” found that about 55 percent of likely Republican voters are undecided about who to support in the 2018 gubernatorial primary.

But 82 percent view President Donald Trump favorably and 54 percent think Butch Jones is doing a good job as University of Tennessee football coach.

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Poll finds Corker approval rating down to 34 percent; Corker staffer says it’s a ‘push poll’

Tennessee Democrats say a new poll, commissioned by a national advocacy group fighting GOP efforts to repeal Obamacare, demonstrates U.S. Sen. Bob Corker, R-Tenn., is vulnerable on the health care issue. The Times Free Press reports that a Corker staffer and Vanderbilt University pollster question the validity of the survey.

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Poll commissioned by education reform group finds TN voters like education reform

News release from State Collaborative on Reforming Education

NASHVILLE – A survey of likely voters in Tennessee’s 2018 gubernatorial primaries shows that education reform measures have broad support among Republicans and Democrats and that voters rank improving the quality of education as one of the top issues for the next governor.

Results from the poll were released today by the State Collaborative on Reforming Education, which commissioned a statewide survey of 500 likely voters in the 2018 Republican primary and 500 likely voters in the Democratic primary. The telephone poll was conducted July 12-16 by Fabrizio, Lee & Associates and Benenson Strategy Group.