Politico: Poll has Bredesen leading Blackburn 47-45

U.S. Rep. Marsha Blackburn, R-Brentwood. (Photo credit: Blackburn for Senate campaign)

U.S. Rep. Marsha Blackburn, R-Brentwood. (Photo credit: Blackburn for Senate campaign)

Politico reports that a late January poll had Democratic former Gov. Phil Bredesen leading Republican U.S. Rep. Marsha Blackburn 47% to 45% in a head-to-head matchup in the Tennessee Senate race.

The poll conducted by Glen Bolger of Public Opinion Strategies indicates that a generic Republican would be preferred over a Democrat, and that President Donald Trump retains a strong approval rating. The takeaway, Politico says, is that “Blackburn is in for a tough race” even in a heavily Republican state like Tennessee.

The Politico story delves into the chatter about incumbent Sen. Bob Corker (R-Chattanooga) possibly re-thinking his decision against seeking a third term in the Senate. According to to the news site, a “coterie of Republicans” is pushing Corker to run again.

Responded Blackburn spokeswoman Andrea Bozek: “It’s well past time for the good old boys’ club in Washington, D.C., to quit thinking they know who the best candidate and conservative leader is for Tennessee families.”

The article quotes Victor Ashe, the former Knoxville mayor and onetime ambassador to Poland, as saying that he prefers former U.S. Rep Stephen Fincher in the GOP primary, but that he’s “not sure that he’s a candidate, based on his inactivity.” Presented with the choice between Blackburn and Bredesen, Ashe said he could “go either way.”

“Anyone seriously sizing it up would have to say Mrs. Blackburn would be somewhat ahead of Bredesen but not a lot,” Ashe told Politico. “Depending on how the national situation goes, it could be extremely competitive. It would be hard to attack [Bredesen’s] record as governor because so many Republicans like him.”

Amusingly, Politico quotes former Republican Gov. Don Sundquist as coming out firmly against a Blackburn bid: “You can say on the record I’m not supporting her.” Blackburn was a major opponent of Sundquist’s state income tax proposal when he was governor, and was a major player in rallying opponents over talk radio to protest against the measure at the state Capitol. Her anti-income tax activism was a major factor in her election to Congress in 2002.

One Corker colleague who would welcome him changing his mind and running again is Senate Majority Whip John Cornyn of Texas.

“That would be terrific,” he told Politico. “We need to hold that seat. I don’t have any doubt” that Corker would win.

Corker’s office has downplayed the talk about him changing his mind — for now.

Note: This post has been updated to remove a reference to the poll being “overweighted” with Republicans. Politico clarified its original report to indicate that that “the sample includes more Republicans than Democrats due to Tennessee’s GOP-leaning electorate.”

12 Responses to Politico: Poll has Bredesen leading Blackburn 47-45

  • James White says:

    Marsha Blackburn is a member of the ‘good old boys club’. She is always for More Government, More Spending, and Less Liberty. I think Bredesen would be better than her, then again, I think just about ANYONE would be better than her.

    • Stuart I. Anderson says:

      The Club For Growth, a nationally renown organization that supports candidates based on their adherence to pro growth policies including “Limited government through limited spending and budget reform . . .” is supporting Marsha as she runs for the Senate. Currently Marsha has a 90% “LifeScore” from the Club and she is the recipient of the Club’s “Defender of Economic Freedom” award. Yet you feel “She is always for More Government, More Spending and Less Liberty” as you “. . .think Bredesen would be better than her. . . .” That’s Democrat Phil Bredesen whose first vote in the Senate would be to elect Chuck Schumer as Majority Leader which is ok with you while you are for less government and more liberty.

      I think you are a bit confused and misinformed.

      • James White says:

        Stuart, look who voted FOR the big budget deal Friday ! And look who didnt’ (duncan of TN)

        • Stuart I. Anderson says:

          So did Ted Cruz, should we throw him overboard as unacceptably liberal too? The argument of these conservatives who voted for the budget is that eventually you have to adequately fund the military if you care about the defense of this country. The sequester has prevented us from doing so for a number of years. The liberals think we spend too much on the military as it is so they can always outwait us regarding adequate military spending so the only way to get money to the military is to agree to wasteful domestic spending in order to get the liberal votes needed to pass the budget so long as the voters elect so many liberals to Congress.

          I probably would have voted against the budget deal if I was in Congress but I can’t be sure. It is inevitable that we can always find a vote or two that we disagree with when evaluating the hundreds of votes someone casts while in the legislature. Politicians should be evaluated on their entire body of work. On that basis I still wish Cruz was our President and no question that Marsha in the “best of breed” for U.S. Senate from Tennessee in 2018.

    • Stefan Smith says:

      Marsha is anything but part of the “good old boys club”. All you need do is take a look at her voting record. She stands up for the USA and Tennesseans. You always know where Marsha is on the issues and she votes that way unlike Senator Corker. Bredesen was a very good Governor with great knowledge of healthcare (Read his book Fresh Medicine). Put him in charge of healthcare not in the Senate.

  • Steve L. says:

    Polling from Politico is hopelessly biased against conservatives. Why report it? These elections are won or lost for Tennessee conservatives in the primaries. So far my only choices, as an independent conservative, are Fincher and Blackburn. Since write-in candidates have no chance of winning, what next?

    • Erik Schelzig says:

      Politico is only reporting about the poll, they didn’t conduct it. The polling outfit was Public Opinion Strategies, which has a generally decent track record according to 538’s pollster record, and skews slightly toward Republicans.

      • Steve L. says:

        P.O.S. also predicted FL, NC, PA, WI, and MI for Hillary on the day before the election in 2016. How about the Triton Research Poll (1/29/2018) for the Tennessee Star that showed Blackburn ahead by 11%? Politico will shop for the poll they want and press their liberal agenda using it. Nothing personal, just business…..

    • PB says:

      Smart Republicans refuse to answer polls.

      • Stuart I. Anderson says:

        Why? If all Republicans did that all the polls would give the impression that our population is overwhelmingly far left-wing so conservatives don’t have any chance, anywhere at any time. If you are a conservative results like that can’t be helpful. I ALWAYS take the time to answer polls for that reason.

  • April says:

    Marsha Blackburn is wonderfully conservative, and prepared for the job. The reality is that Bredesen appeals to many moderate Republicans. I have believed from the beginning that Bredesen would win this seat for many reasons from name recognition as governor, being liked by moderate Republicans, and other more subjective factor on how Blackburn communicates. Don’t hate me for being honest.

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